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New Year’s Prediction Party – 2011

Greetings, David Maxwell here… As part of the discussion on our last podcast, Mark Plaid, one of our CORICast members, granted me permission to post his Facebook note regarding his 2011 New Year’s prediction party. I do so without comment, below. If you’d like to hear the discussion, please subscribe to CORICast, CORI’s official podcast.

Take it away, Mark!

Off the top of my head I don’t remember the exact year I started having New Year’s Day Prediction Parties. It may have either been for 1999 or 2000. I just moved into my own apartment and was eager to have guests. Many people I knew either worked New Year’s Eve or had plans. So, inspired by the annual opening of predictions on the Art Bell radio show, that I was a big fan of at the time, I took the idea and made a theme party out of it for New Year’s Day. The parties are usually mildly attended, so far we’ve had no more than 9 or 10 people, but they are always pretty fun.

These are the general guidelines for the Mark Plaid’s New Year’s Day Prediction Party. The predictions made the prior year are not to be viewed at any time after they are made at the prediction party until the following year’s prediction party. The only predictions filed are ones made by those attending the party, no phoned, texted, emailed, or any other way of sending prediction from outside the party will be filed.

Two lists are made. Neither list should have anything personal about the attendees or anyone they know, unless the attendees know famous people. One is a list of 100 celebrities that might pass away in the coming year. Celebrities are pretty much anyone who is in the public eye, be they entertainer, political figure, athlete, author, artist, etc. Although this may seem morbid to some, when we didn’t make a separate list for celebrity deaths, the prediction list will fill up with them. This streamlined the predictions and it is quite strongly stressed that the list is neither a betting pool nor a wish list. Either way, I’m not a superstitious person and if you have a problem with talking about death, don’t come to my parties. Avoiding talking about death isn’t going to eliminate death, it’s a part of life no matter how hard you deny it. This is more disclaimer than necessary.

The second list is a general prediction list which can have things that range from disasters to pop culture fads and all sorts of things that are not celebrity deaths. We don’t have a limit on the number of these predictions they just go until we get tired of making them.

I’m not going to name those who attended the party, but if they choose to reveal themselves that’s okay. This years party had nine total people including me.

There were 6 correct predictions out of 100 for celebrity deaths made at the 2010 prediction party for 2010, they are:

1. J. D. Salinger
2. Rue McClanahan
3. Dino DeLaurentis
4. Dennis Hopper
5. Norman Wisdom
6.Peter Graves

There were 6 correct predictions made out of 52 for general predictions, they are:

1. Recession continues.
2. Public option for health insurance.
3. New Popeye movie announced.
4. An “I love the…” show aired on VH1 about the past decade
5. Sasquatch still unavailable for comment
6. The 2010 list will be opened in 2011 (This has been a standard last prediction made for many of the parties).

As you can see the numbers aren’t too big. There are thankfully few correct celebrity deaths and a lot of fun is had in reading incorrect general predictions like:

-Canada chic!
-Disney buys Catholic church
-Dan Quayle comeback!
-Big Monkey news!
-Sarah Palin defects to Russia!
and more

Thanks to all who attended. It was a blast and I hope to have you again next year. The one thing i find it hard to predict is where in the hell it will be then.

– Mark Plaid

David is a science cheerleader, skeptic, atheist, musician, DBA, husband, father, and a few other things as well. If you like listening better than reading, check him out on CORI's official podcast, CORICast.

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